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And the award for Best MLB Picks of 2005 goes to...
12-28-05
...me! The award goes to me. A nice comeback from the All-Star Break, when we were in the red. Overall, you'll see below that there was a 3.6 unit gain on the season. Based on my picks and confidence, we risked 98 units, which yields a gain of 3.67% over roughly 6 months. Not impressive, but it is in the positive and something to shoot for next season.
Some random highlights and lowlights from this season: Finally, a 5-point pick comes through (Philly). The old Expos are still a lock on the over. Florida couldn't finish strong unfortunately. The Giants were a dumb pick from the beginning. All things we learn from and build upon for next year. More important, I swept the NL Central, my "home" division. That's right, 6-0 on Chicago, Cinci, Houston, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh and St. Louis. The lesson, go with what you know.
Here again is a breakdown of the year including where teams were at a few junctures over the season and how they ended up, also a breakdown of picks by confidence rating.
| Team | Magic # | O/U | "Units" | target % | yes/no | Result | 6/2/2005 | 6/19/2005 | 7/13/2005 | Final Win # |
| Arizona | 74 | o | 3 | 0.4568 | $$ | 3 | 0.566 | 0.500 | 0.478 | 77 |
| Atlanta | 89 | u | 3 | 0.5494 | no | -3.3 | 0.558 | 0.529 | 0.562 | 90 |
| Baltimore | 80.5 | u | 3 | 0.4969 | $$ | 3 | 0.604 | 0.603 | 0.540 | 74 |
| BoSox | 95.5 | o | 2 | 0.5895 | no | -2.2 | 0.547 | 0.552 | 0.563 | 95 |
| Cubs | 88.5 | u | 4 | 0.5463 | $$ | 4 | 0.529 | 0.507 | 0.494 | 79 |
| White Sox | 83 | u | 4 | 0.5123 | no | -4.4 | 0.660 | 0.672 | 0.663 | 99 |
| Cinci | 78 | u | 3 | 0.4815 | $$ | 3 | 0.396 | 0.382 | 0.399 | 73 |
| Cleveland | 83.5 | o | 4 | 0.5154 | $$ | 4 | 0.481 | 0.552 | 0.534 | 93 |
| Colorado | 67 | u | 2 | 0.4136 | push | 0 | 0.294 | 0.328 | 0.356 | 67 |
| Detroit | 80 | o | 1 | 0.4938 | no | -1.1 | 0.490 | 0.492 | 0.488 | 71 |
| Florida | 86.5 | o | 5 | 0.5340 | no | -5.5 | 0.540 | 0.508 | 0.512 | 83 |
| Houston | 83.5 | o | 4 | 0.5154 | $$ | 4 | 0.385 | 0.424 | 0.506 | 89 |
| KC | 65 | u | 3 | 0.4012 | $$ | 3 | 0.288 | 0.358 | 0.345 | 56 |
| LA Angels | 92.5 | o | 2 | 0.5710 | $$ | 2 | 0.585 | 0.582 | 0.591 | 95 |
| LA Dodgers | 83.5 | o | 4 | 0.5154 | no | -4.4 | 0.500 | 0.493 | 0.455 | 71 |
| Milwaukee | 69 | o | 3 | 0.4259 | $$ | 3 | 0.481 | 0.456 | 0.477 | 81 |
| Minnesota | 89.5 | o | 3 | 0.5525 | no | -3.3 | 0.596 | 0.576 | 0.558 | 83 |
| NYM | 85 | o | 3 | 0.5247 | no | -3.3 | 0.509 | 0.485 | 0.500 | 83 |
| NYY | 101 | u | 1 | 0.6235 | $$ | 1 | 0.519 | 0.529 | 0.535 | 95 |
| Oakland | 80 | u | 4 | 0.4938 | no | -4.4 | 0.385 | 0.418 | 0.506 | 88 |
| Philadelphia | 83.5 | o | 5 | 0.5154 | $$ | 5 | 0.491 | 0.551 | 0.506 | 88 |
| Pittsburgh | 73.5 | u | 3 | 0.4537 | $$ | 3 | 0.471 | 0.470 | 0.448 | 67 |
| SD | 86.5 | o | 1 | 0.5340 | no | -1.1 | 0.623 | 0.544 | 0.539 | 82 |
| SF | 90 | o | 5 | 0.5556 | no | -5.5 | 0.451 | 0.424 | 0.425 | 75 |
| Seattle | 80 | u | 3 | 0.4938 | $$ | 3 | 0.423 | 0.455 | 0.448 | 69 |
| STL | 93 | o | 4 | 0.5741 | $$ | 4 | 0.654 | 0.642 | 0.636 | 100 |
| Tampa Bay | 70 | u | 3 | 0.4321 | $$ | 3 | 0.352 | 0.338 | 0.315 | 67 |
| Texas | 80.5 | o | 4 | 0.4969 | no | -4.4 | 0.577 | 0.561 | 0.535 | 79 |
| Toronto | 69 | u | 5 | 0.4259 | no | -5.5 | 0.528 | 0.493 | 0.500 | 80 |
| Washington | 70 | o | 4 | 0.4321 | $$ | 4 | 0.509 | 0.574 | 0.591 | 81 |
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| 6/2/2005 | | 6/19/2005 | | 7/13/2005 | | Season End |
| | 17up | | 19up | | 17 up | | 16 up |
| | 13down | | 11down | | 13 down | | 13 down |
| | | | | | | | 1 push |
| 5 | 1-3 | 5 | 1-3 | 5 | 0-4 | 5 | 1-3 |
| 4 | 5-4 | 4 | 6-3 | 4 | 5-4 | 4 | 5-4 |
| 3 | 7-4 | 3 | 8-3 | 3 | 8-3 | 3 | 8-3 |
| 2 | 2-1 | 2 | 2-1 | 2 | 2-1 | 2 | 1-1-1 |
| 1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2-1 | 1 | 1-2 |
| Total | 1.1 | Total | 16.1 | Total | -2.9 | Total | +3.6 |
Come back in a few months and we'll do it all over again.
Have fun.
-T
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Inside My Brain