Monster Cards

MLB 2006: First to Worst
8-02-06


Sometimes in life, you feel depressed and get down on yourself. Sometimes things aren't going your way and your friends
and family can lift your spirits. Other times, things aren't that simple. These are the times you can't find the
motivation to roll yourself out of bed. You don't even watch TV; you stare blankly at it. After a few hours of sitting
on the couch, motionless, you realize there is a stream of drool connected from your lip to your leg. And you don't even
care. That's how I feel when I look at these picks right now.

And I don't understand it. The picks looked so good last time, not to mention the beginning of the season. First I will
display the bad news. Then I will examine whether some of the teams can salvage my original goals, or if I should
look into selling my organs.

Team # O/U Bet Target % yes/no Result %5-27-06 %8-2-06
Arizona 74 u 4 0.457 no -4.4 0.596 0.509
Atlanta 87.5 u 2 0.540 yes 2.0 0.521 0.472
Baltimore 74.5 o 1 0.460 no -1.1 0.449 0.450
BoSox 91.5 o 2 0.565 yes 2.0 0.609 0.604
Cubs 85.5 u 4 0.528 yes 4.0 0.383 0.415
White Sox 91 o 3 0.562 yes 3.0 0.660 0.594
Cinci 74 u 3 0.457 no -3.3 0.563 0.514
Cleveland 89 o 4 0.549 no -4.4 0.489 0.434
Colorado 69.5 u 3 0.429 no -3.3 0.521 0.486
Detroit 78.5 u 3 0.485 no -3.3 0.708 0.673
Florida 65 u 2 0.401 no -2.2 0.326 0.467
Houston 82.5 o 5 0.509 no -5.5 0.510 0.477
KC 64 u 4 0.395 yes 4.0 0.239 0.355
LA Angels 87.5 o 4 0.540 no -4.4 0.417 0.514
LA Dodgers 85 u 4 0.525 yes 4.0 0.563 0.486
Milwaukee 82 u 2 0.506 yes 2.0 0.521 0.472
Minnesota 83 u 1 0.512 no -1.1 0.447 0.575
NYM 91 o 2 0.562 yes 2.0 0.596 0.604
NYY 98 u 2 0.605 no -2.2 0.565 0.606
Oakland 90 u 4 0.556 yes 4.0 0.458 0.528
Philadelphia 82 o 5 0.506 no -5.5 0.511 0.481
Pittsburgh 75.5 u 5 0.466 yes 5.0 0.313 0.370
SD 77.5 u 4 0.478 no -4.4 0.521 0.514
SF 83.5 o 2 0.515 no -2.2 0.521 0.481
Seattle 75 o 2 0.463 yes 2.0 0.440 0.495
STL 92.5 o 3 0.571 no -3.3 0.646 0.547
Tampa Bay 67.5 o 2 0.417 no -2.2 0.429 0.407
Texas 81.5 o 5 0.503 no -5.5 0.521 0.500
Toronto 87 u 1 0.537 yes 1.0 0.553 0.533
Washington 75.5 o 2 0.466 no -2.2 0.408 0.444
Total return = -25.5
% return = -28.333
By the numbers: 5-27-06 8-2-06
5 4-0 5 1-3
4 3-5 4 4-4
3 2-3 3 1-4
2 7-3 2 5-5
1 1-2 1 1-2
17-13 12-18

Ick! You can see that three of our four 5-point picks have turned against us, with only Pittsburgh's terrible-ness
salvaging us there.

I officialy wrote off Arizona in my last column, so no sense worrying about them. Cleveland and Anaheim I really hoped would come through like champions, but only the latter is doing so. And they still have some ground to cover for us to cover.

I already considered Pittsburgh, KC, and the Chicago Cubs in the bag, and I'm sticking to those predictions.

Milwaukee and Toronto both had to start losing for our purposes, and they have obliged. Both are rarities in that
they switched from our minus to positive side. Seattle also did that by improving their game. Many more teams
fell from black to red ink on our scorecards, but we don't need to get into all of that.

So who can we salvage? Any 5-point picks?
I have my doubts about Houston. They have decent hitting, better than average pitching, and the Rocket for a shot
in the arm, but still they keep losing. Texas is right there for us. That pick should come down to the wire,
but the encouraging thing is they at least chased something at the trade deadline. Meanwhile, the Phillies
took that opportunity to crap on their chances for a run at our number and the wildcard by giving, er, trading
away solid hitting and pitching in Abreu and Lidle.

Another bonus for us is that the Nationals decided to keep Alfonso Soriano. They have a good young nucleus there
and I already smell the 'over' cooking up for next year's feast.

But before next year, we can let these picks simmer for a few more weeks and see if they improve at all.

Have fun!
-T




tony@monstercards.net